Are prediction markets too stable, because people trust them too much and assume new information already baked in? I explore this in a post on Slate with Andrew Gelman.
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PredictWise aggregates, analyzes, and creates predictions on politics, sports, finance, and entertainment. We created PredictWise because we thought it would be interesting and informative for people to better understand the likelihood of certain major events occurring, and to have that information presented in a manner that is easy to comprehend.