David M Rothschild on Posted on

Americans are very polarized in how they view trade, with Republicans now strongly against it and Democrats slightly for it. Americans are also muddled on immigrants, with big partisan differences on the impact of immigrants on the job markets in the US. But, relatively strong support from both parties for long-term and high-skilled immigrants.

Poll was run by PredictWise with Pollfish on March 20, 2017.

55 percent of Americans think the US should impose high tariffs on imported goods and 47 percent, a strong plurality, favor leaving the North American Free Trade Agreement (aka NAFTA). But, while Republicans are 76 percent and 62 percent, the Democrats are just 39 percent and 34 percent for high tariffs and leaving NAFTA respectively. Not equal and opposite, but general opposition from the Democrats.

62 percent of Americans say they “Are you willing to pay [a little] more to buy USA made goods” and another 10 percent “a lot more”. Obviously, this is a bit socially desirable; not clear how happy people would be if goods actually became a lot more expensive with high trade barriers.

“When it comes to the cultural life in the US, immigrants:” 39 percent think they “make it stronger” and just 14 percent “make it weaker”.

“When it comes to the job market in the US, immigrants:” 34 percent think they “make it stronger” and 28 percent “make it weaker”. 45 percent, a plurality, of Democrats think it is stronger and, 45, a plurality of Republicans, thinking it is weaker.

“How do you feel about increasing the flow of highly skilled immigrants to the US?” 56 percent favor with majorities in both Democrats (66) and Republican (50) constituencies.

“Undocumented immigrants brought to the US as children, who are employed and have committed no crimes, should be …” 67 percent think “given a path to citizenship” with majorities in both Democrats (75) and Republican (59) constituencies.

“Undocumented immigrants with US citizen children, who are employed and have committed no crimes, should be …” 60 percent think “given a path to citizenship” with a majority of Democrats (69) and a plurality of Republicans (48).

“How do you feel about blocking Muslim immigrants from entering the US?” 53 percent favor with just 34 percent of Democrats, but 79 percent of Republicans.

Full Data Here at PredictWise.com.

The PredictWise and Pollfish survey received responses from 1,200 people on March 20 through online and in-app polling methods. We do not report margin of error because we do not believe it can be accurately estimated.

Tobias Konitzer is a PhD candidate in communication at Stanford University. Find him on Twitter @KonitzerTobias.
Sam Corbett-Davies is a PhD candidate at Stanford University in computer science. Find him on Twitter @SCorbettDavies.
David Rothschild is an economist at Microsoft Research. Find him on Twitter @DavMicRot.