David M Rothschild on Posted on

This follows a Buzzfeed post on the finding that “A Surprising Number Of People Say They Have An Opinion About Betsy DeVos In This New Poll”

Republicans like Sweden, but are lot less favorable to it than Democrats. Political boogieman, but perpetual power broker, Goldman Sachs has a negative favorability, but not excessively so. Trump was happy to get Betsy DeVos confirmed as Secretary of Education, but she has a shockingly bad favorability for a low-profile cabinet secretary.

Poll was run by PredictWise with Pollfish on February 27, 2017.

Fav4Fig1_PredictWisePollfish_Favorability4

Trump saw a piece on Fox News about how immigrants were causing a crime wave in Sweden and he wanted everyone to hear about it; Sweden is still very popular with a net favorability (i.e., favorable – unfavorable) of +56, but that is +68 from Democrats and +49 from Republicans. There is a larger break on Paris, France where Trump claims his friend Jim will no longer go, because “Paris is no longer Paris.” There is a similar net favorability of +61, but +78 from Democrats and +43 from Republicans. While this margin is larger, it could reflect historically more favorable feelings from a country that has, historically, leaning more left.

In comparison to Sweden and Paris, Israel has a much lower +21 favorability with +20 from Democrats and +28 from Republicans. North Korea is very unfavorable at -54.

Perpetual boogieman Goldman Sachs is -12, much better than North Korea, but not exactly the type of negative net favorability rating that many elites probably think. The key is 37 percent neutral and 24 percent don’t know; that is over 61 percent of Americans without an opinion. Financial intuitions Wells Fargo (0), JP Morgan (+11), and Berkshire Hathaway (+5) are all just above neutral. As an aside, Goldman Sachs stock is up 40 percent since Election Day.

Betsy DeVos, the new Secretary of Education, is -15, which is a monster negative net favorability for Secretary of Education. Only 23 percent do not know her, which is crazy, because can you name Obama’s Secretary of Education? She is -35 from Democrats and +10 from Republicans. On Tuesday she was back in the news after she implied that historically black colleges and universities, which were made due to segregation, stood for school choice. Sean Spicer, the President’s Press Secretary, has 30 percent don’t know and -10 net favorability, with -26 from Democrats and +13 from Republicans.

Mike Pence, Vice President of the United States, is in a great spot with +8 net favorability. He is the only Trump official we have polls with net positive favorability at -30 for Democrats, but +60 for Republicans.

Full Data Here at PredictWise.com.

The PredictWise and Pollfish survey received responses from 1,200 people on Feb. 27 through online and in-app polling methods. We do not report margin of error because we do not believe it can be accurately estimated.

Tobias Konitzer is a PhD candidate in communication at Stanford University. Find him on Twitter @KonitzerTobias.
Sam Corbett-Davies is a PhD candidate at Stanford University in computer science. Find him on Twitter @scorbettdavies.
David Rothschild is an economist at Microsoft Research. Find him on Twitter @DavMicRot.