David M Rothschild on Posted on

Results of a poll that was run by PredictWise with Pollfish on April 4, 2017.

Republicans demand increased spending on national defense and Democrats slightly opposed, but many support.

Figure1_Spending_20170405

Republicans heavily support warming relations with Russia, increasing threat to China, and loosening commitment to NATO. This is a clear case of the population updating their policy preferences to their elites (e.g., Trump). Two years ago most Republicans would have been super against warming relations with Russia and very strongly for NATO.

Figure2_RussiaChinaNato_20170405

65 percent of Republicans support the US holding terrorism suspects indefinitely without trial. Only 32 percent of Democrats. To be clear, that was “indefinitely without trial” in the question.

Figure3_Holding_20170405

Most people are against registering religious affiliations of citizens. But, 60 percent of Republicans support extra surveillance of Muslim community centers and mosques. We asked the same question of Jew and 39 percent of Republicans and 31 percent of Democrats (roughly the same for Jews and Muslims) support extra surveillance of Jewish community centers and synagogues.

Figure4_Religion_20170405

Full Data Here at PredictWise.com.

The PredictWise and Pollfish survey received responses from 1,200 people on April 4 through online and in-app polling methods. We do not report margin of error because we do not believe it can be accurately estimated.

Tobias Konitzer is a PhD candidate in communication at Stanford University. Find him on Twitter @KonitzerTobias.
Sam Corbett-Davies is a PhD candidate at Stanford University in computer science. Find him on Twitter @SCorbettDavies.
David Rothschild is an economist at Microsoft Research. Find him on Twitter @DavMicRot.