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David M Rothschild Posted on

Republican Gianforte leads Democrat Quist: We polled on May 11-12 and May 18-19. We saw a consistent 13 pp lead for Gianforte over Quist. With Libertarian Wicks polling at 9 percent and Unsure voters at just 5 percent, the lead appears significant and stable heading into the last week of the campaign. Gianforte was trading […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Two key issues for 2017 are healthcare and taxes. What do people want and what do they know? Poll was run by PredictWise with Pollfish on May 1, 2017. The people want more healthcare coverage, but many know that Trump/GOP is offering them less. 51 percent of Democrats and 26 percent of Republicans know that […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Every few weeks we test the favorability of a few things that have been in the news and this week we start with the four major airlines: United is really unpopular. Considering places: Republicans love Texas and Democrats love California, but the unfavourability it asymmetric. When it comes to the Democratic leadership, they are a […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

The French election is really complicated with four candidates still in the running going into first round voting. Please feel free to quibble, but for the USA audience I will note them as: (center-left) Macron at 56%, (far-right) Le Pen 19%, (center-right) Fillon at 19%, and (far-left) Melenchon 5%. Again, apologize for the crude labeling. […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Americans are relatively united in what they care about. We asked Americans “How willing would you be to watch 30 minutes less of your favorite TV in order to learn more about” nine different policy topics: trade, taxes, regulation, immigration, health care, civil rights, national security and terrorism, environmental, and social security. Poll was run […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

There is massive, overwhelming support for government regulation and spending on policy aimed towards women’s reproductive health. There are conflicting feelings towards gay rights. Poll was run by PredictWise with Pollfish on April 11, 2017. Strong support for women’s health. Republicans only have lukewarm support for abstinence-only education, while Democrats are strongly opposed. “How do […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Pollfish did some polls around the world. We have not had time to model and post-stratify them, so these are just raw polling results. But, Pollfish did ask a few validation questions, demographics and local party identification, and the data is reasonably representative. Every other country surveyed would have voted for Hillary Clinton, except Russia, […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Results of a poll that was run by PredictWise with Pollfish on April 4, 2017. Republicans demand increased spending on national defense and Democrats slightly opposed, but many support. Republicans heavily support warming relations with Russia, increasing threat to China, and loosening commitment to NATO. This is a clear case of the population updating their policy […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Party identification is a strong drug. No matter how ineffectual Congress becomes, there is still relatively strong support for one’s party in Congress. Poll was run by PredictWise with Pollfish on March 30, 2017. Congress is pretty unpopular right now, but both voters from both parties have majority support for their own party. Only 25 […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Americans are very polarized in how they view trade, with Republicans now strongly against it and Democrats slightly for it. Americans are also muddled on immigrants, with big partisan differences on the impact of immigrants on the job markets in the US. But, relatively strong support from both parties for long-term and high-skilled immigrants. Poll […]

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