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David M Rothschild Posted on

We ran a poll in the hours after the Inauguration and nothing in it will surprise you at all. But, it is amazing to see not just the divide in sentiment and expectation, but how Trump and Clinton voters live in a different reality. Trump voters think the economy got worse under Obama, while Clinton […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

This was originally posted on Medium and is written with Duncan Watts: The current state of public and political discourse is in disarray. Politicians lie with impunity. Traditional news organizations amplify fact-free assertions, while outright fake news stories circulate on social media. Public trust in the media, science, and expert opinion has fallen, while segregation […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

We ran a new PredictWise/Pollfish Poll on favorability of 11 entities: people, companies, and countries (date: January 14, 2017). All of these entities were singled out, in tweets, by President-elect Donald Trump in the previous few days. We do not know the baseline partisanship of the favorability of the entities prior to Trump’s engagement, but […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

A strong plurality of voters believe that, “In potentially dangerous situations, police should resort to deadly force…” More Often. 44 percent of voters say that police should use deadly force more often with just 30 percent saying less often. Among Trump voters it is 58 percent to 16 percent. 34 percent of Clinton voters advocate […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Newest PredictWise/Pollfish Polls: Women are affected differently than men when it comes to child-bearing. Not only do they, by definition, actually bear the children, but they are disproportionally responsible for the raising children. We examine the public’s support for policies that cover child-bearing, from inception to daycare and see a lot more agreement than disagreement. […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

In latest PredictWise/Pollfish Poll the vast majority of American voters support same-sex marriage, but there are some real concerns about its survival under a Republican Supreme Court. Further, the country is very divided over whether private companies should have the right to opt-out of work for same-sex weddings. Should same-sex couple be allowed to marry? […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Golden Globes predictions, derived from Betfair data at 5:30 PM ET on Sunday, January 8, 2017

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David M Rothschild Posted on

In the latest PredictWise/Pollfish poll there is widespread optimism on President-elect Trump’s ability to fighting ISIS, but very conflicting opinions about the tactics he may use, under the banner of that fight in the United States. There is strong opposition to registering the religion of US citizens, an idea that Trump has floated for Muslims. […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

In our latest PredictWise/Pollfish poll, American voters strongly favor increasing spending on national defense, but are divided on how to use this larger military. There is unified concern over Iran, but the US has a surprisingly partisan divide on aggression towards Russia and China, along with NATO. Both Trump and Clinton voters want to increase […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Trump voters are surprisingly compassionate towards immigrants currently in the United States, but surprisingly harsh towards the possibility of future immigration. Trump voters are open to a path towards citizenship for undocumented immigrants that are employed without a criminal record. But, they are not only resistant to future Muslim immigration, and general immigration, but even […]

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