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David M Rothschild Posted on

There are three key facts about the integrity of American elections: (1) any voter fraud that occurs is negligible (2) voter suppression, for example through longer lines for minority or younger voters, might be a real factor. (3) Public opinion has it exactly reversed: Americans, including a majority of both Republicans and Democrats, are concerned […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

See article in Buzzfeed … A good chunk of Americans believe that President Trump either does not finish his first term or will not be the Republican nominee in 2020. And, almost every other American would prefer Vice-President Mike Pence to be president instead right now. But, while an insane quarter of Americans profess to talk […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Americans state that they support the concept of the Republican and Trump economic policies on cutting taxes and regulations, but they do not actually support cutting taxes and regulations. They are overwhelmingly opposed to cutting corporate income tax and overwhelmingly favor tax increase for higher income. Further there is strong support for maintaining both financial […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

Americans like investigations into all kinds of things, from unsubstantiated claims of voter fraud to claims of Obama wiretapping the Trump campaign to Hillary Clinton’s private email servers. But, all things Russia are especially concerning to Americans: There is overwhelming bi-partisan support for investigations into both the Russian hacking of the DNC and the relationship […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

In a bid to limit protests, President Trump’s October visit to the United Kingdom is going to be moved from England to Scotland. Which begs the question: what do the people of Scotland think of Trump, well known there as a developer of golf courses (and builder of walls) before he became President of the […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

This follows a Buzzfeed post on the finding that “A Surprising Number Of People Say They Have An Opinion About Betsy DeVos In This New Poll” Republicans like Sweden, but are lot less favorable to it than Democrats. Political boogieman, but perpetual power broker, Goldman Sachs has a negative favorability, but not excessively so. Trump was […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

A strong plurality of Americans believe that globalization has sidelined them, but has been good for the US economy overall. So, how do they react? They want the government to help them out: massive majorities of Americans believe the government should make college tuition-free and provide healthcare to all people. At the same time they […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

52 percent to 43 percent Americans support the Affordable Care Act (aka Obamacare). When we did the same poll three months ago, it was 44 percent support and 49 percent opposition. We saw no substantial change to the support for the underlying components of Obamacare: coverage for pre-existing conditions, coverage for kids up to 26 […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

OK – make that 17 for 24 … just as predicted! 18 for 24. Not bad. Had me worried, but data worked out. Off to bed! One left! Now 17 of 23. Expected 17 with initial probabilities pretty low this year, but hoping to round up to 18. Would be a great comeback for the […]

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David M Rothschild Posted on

New Buzzfeed post. Most “viral” takeaways? 1) Should people be able to freely criticize the president: citizens (81 percent), press (71 percent), federal government employees (62 percent), legal immigrants (50 percent). Democrats are much more likely to believe and any given group can freely criticize the president. They run from 90 percent (citizens) to 85 […]

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