Key data on this page includes: Prediction Markets (Betfair, PredictIt, Hypermind), Polling (HuffPost Pollster), Bookie (OddsChecker). Click here for details of the data collection and aggregation process. Want some additional insight on the values? Research papers are at ResearchDMR or email David directly.

Toplines: Next President by Party *..* Next President by Party Recent Trend  *..* Electoral College by Party *..* Next President by Person *..* Map Version!
Raw Data: Next President by Party – Raw Data *..* Next President by Person – Raw Data *..* Next President by State*..* Electoral College Markets – Raw Data*..* Electoral College Polls – Raw Data

2016 President – Winner (Party)

Close-up of last few weeks (updated manually, so check time-stamp!) …


2016 President – Winner (Electoral College by Party – Probability of Democratic Candidate to win …)

PredictWise column combines fundamental, polling, and prediction market-based forecasts. PredictWise column is my overall forecast.

2016 President – Winner (Individual)

 2016 President – Winner (Party) – Raw Data

2016 Presidential Election – Winner (Individual) – Raw Data

2016 Presidential Election – Winner (by State)

2016 Electoral College Markets – Raw Data

2016 Electoral College Polls – Raw Data