Key data on this page includes: Prediction Markets (Betfair, PredictIt, Hypermind), Polling (HuffPost Pollster), Bookie (OddsChecker). Click here for details of the data collection and aggregation process (specific blog post). Want some additional insight on the values? Research papers are at ResearchDMR or email David directly.
Topline *..* Chart (Longer Trend) *..* Chart (Shorter Trend) *..* State-by-State *..* Distribution of Possible Outcomes *..* Map Version! *..* Topline (Raw Data) *..* Market Data Only *..* Poll Data Only
Next President (Updated every 2-3 minutes)
Next President (State-by-State in Terms of Democratic Candidate)
Below is Utah, where a third-party candidate has a non-negligible probability of winning the Electoral Votes:
PredictWise column combines fundamental, polling, and prediction market-based forecasts. PredictWise column is my overall forecast.