Key data on this page includes: Prediction Markets (Betfair, PredictIt, Hypermind), Polling (HuffPost Pollster), Bookie (OddsChecker). Click here for details of the data collection and aggregation process. Want some additional insight on the values? Research papers are at ResearchDMR or email David directly.

Toplines: Next President *..* Next President (Recent Trend)  *..* Electoral College *..* Map Version!
Raw Data: Next President (Raw Data) *..* Electoral College (Markets)*..* Electoral College (Polls)

2016 President – Winner (Party)

Close-up of last few weeks (updated manually, so check time-stamp!) …


2016 President – Winner (Electoral College by Party – Probability of Democratic Candidate to win …)

PredictWise column combines fundamental, polling, and prediction market-based forecasts. PredictWise column is my overall forecast.

 2016 President – Winner (Party) – Raw Data

2016 Electoral College Markets – Raw Data

2016 Electoral College Polls – Raw Data