Key data on this page includes: Prediction Markets (Betfair, PredictIt, Hypermind), Polling (HuffPost Pollster), Bookie (OddsChecker). Click here for details of the data collection and aggregation process (specific blog post). Want some additional insight on the values? Research papers are at ResearchDMR or email David directly.

Quick Links:
Topline  *..*  Chart (Longer Trend)   *..*  Chart (Shorter Trend)   *..*  State-by-State  *..*  Distribution of Possible Outcomes  *..* Map Version! *..*  Topline (Raw Data)  *..* Market Data Only *..* Poll Data Only

Next President (Updated every 2-3 minutes)

Next President (Longer Trend)

Next President (Shorter Trend – updated daily)


Next President (State-by-State in Terms of Democratic Candidate)

Below is Utah, where a third-party candidate has a non-negligible probability of winning the Electoral Votes:

PredictWise column combines fundamental, polling, and prediction market-based forecasts. PredictWise column is my overall forecast.

Next President (Distribution of Possible Outcomes)


Next President – Raw Data (Updated every 2-3 minutes)

Next President – Raw Market Data (State-by-State in Terms of Democratic Candidate)

Next President – Raw Poll Data (State-by-State in Terms of Democratic Candidate)