Your humble blogger was on Fox News last night talking about the presidential election and Trump’s 30% path to victory. Hopefully contradicting Bill O’Reilly twice will not preclude me from coming back on … he seemed to enjoy it!
And then there were two. While Bernie Sanders is technically still running, Donald Trump v. Hillary Clinton is now a 99% reality. This morning I officially switched the main chart to the Presidential election with the Democratic nominee at 70% to defeat the Republican nominee. This lead may be surprisingly small to some people (Democrats) or surprisingly large to others (believers in fundamental models). A lot more to follow in the next 6 months and 4 days.
The polls close very shortly in Indiana and Trump is 95% to win IN and 95% to win the GOP nomination. It has been so much fun, but there is a really good chance that the primary effectively ends in 30 minutes … feeling nostalgic yet?
A quick post on the state of the election at 191 until Election Day! Also, just added Newt Gingrich into the Republican VP slot … should keep an eye on him. Apparently he is very eager to be Trump’s Vice ..
Today I have added all governors races and the rest of the primary contests through June 14!
We pushed some updates to the site this morning. (1) There are now timestamps on the charts. (2) There is now a discussion thread under most pages. (3) David’s Musings will now show up around the site. Musings will be brief updates on data, so I can reserve blog posts for more complete thoughts!